Re-Jin
Guo Phone: (312)
413-3718
Associate
Professor of Finance FAX: (312)
413-7948
Ph.D.,
Research
interests:
Corporate governance, mechanism
of primary equity market, new venture financing, corporate disclosure policy,
and behavior of analysts in the capital markets.
Published Papers:
1. ¡°Self-selectivity
in firm's decision to withdraw IPO: Bayesian inference for hazard models of
bankruptcy with feedback¡±, with Rong Chen and Ming
Lin, forthcoming, Journal of American
Statistical Association.
We examine
jointly the consequences of withdrawal on subsequent firm
performance, and firm's self-selection in the IPO withdrawal decision. We
formulate our analysis in a system of endogenous switching hazard models, and
compare subsequent performance between firms with completed and withdrawn IPOs
after controlling for the simultaneity between the expected consequence of
withdrawal and the decision of IPO withdrawal. Our analysis provides the first
evidence that incidence of withdrawal unfavorably affects subsequent
performance of the firm, and new evidence that firms with offerings
underwritten by high-ranked bankers survive significantly longer after
withdrawal of their offerings.
2. ¡°Undoing the Powerful Anti-Takeover Force of
Staggered Boards¡±, with Timothy Kruse and Tom Nohel, Journal of Corporate Finance, June 2008,
274-288.
In this paper we examine cases where managers announce
an intention to de-stagger their boards via either proxy proposals or board
action. The literature has now
established the staggered board as arguably the most consequential of all
available takeover defenses. Thus, the dismantling of this structure in favor
of annual director elections has important implications for shareholder rights
and wealth. We study the wealth
effects and motives behind this change in governance. Our results are consistent with the view
that forcing directors to face annual election is good for shareholders.
Moreover, it is firms with better governance that are more likely to act in the
interest of shareholders.
3. ¡°Ownership Structure and IPO Valuation¡±, with Yin-Hua Yeh and Pei-Gi Shu, Financial Management, Spring 2008,
141-161.
We investigate the effect of ownership structure on
the valuation of initial public offerings (IPOs) in the Taiwanese market, in
which many large shareholders exert control through pyramidal structures and
cross shareholdings with voting rights that are in excess of cash flow rights.
Our analysis of Taiwanese firms which made IPOs between 1992 and 2001 indicates
that outside (minority) shareholders take into account the effect of potential
expropriation by entrenched large shareholders in valuing an IPO, as a
deviating voting-cash structure is negatively associated with the valuation
metric of both
the offer and initial aftermarket prices relative to the corresponding intrinsic value. A
deviating voting-cash structure also correlates negatively with IPO underpricing, which is consistent with the hypothesis that
controlling shareholders with excess voting rights have less of an incentive to
underprice unseasoned shares to prevent the emergence
of new blocks of shareholders. We also present
evidence which indicates that the possession of higher levels of cash flow
rights by the controlling shareholder is positively associated with offer price valuation, but that
this positive
association is weakened in aftermarket trading.
4. ¡°Analysts¡¯ Selective Coverage and the Long-term Performance of
Newly Public Firms¡±, with Somnath Das and Huai
Zhang, Journal of Finance, June 2006, 1159-1185.
We investigate the open
question of whether financial analysts possess superior ability to predict
firms¡¯ future performance. Prior studies on examining analysts¡¯ ability have
focused on drawing inference from data on earnings and growth forecasts. Our work provides a different approach,
which examines analysts¡¯ decision to select firms to provide coverage for. Financial
analysts produce recommendations and earnings forecasts regularly as investment
advice to investors, while having to cater to corporate clients for information
access and/or future banking business at the same time. Such inherent conflict
provides strong incentives for analysts to withhold unfavorable opinions. As a
result, analysts¡¯ selective coverage contains information about their true
expectations of future firm prospects. We extract the information of analysts¡¯
underlying expectation from their selective coverage, and relate this measure
to subsequent performance of IPO firms. We find a strong and positive
correlation between this ex ante measure of analysts¡¯ expectation, and the ex
post long-run stock and operating performance. Our results support the
proposition that analysts possess the ability to predict future performance of
newly public firms. An important implication from our results is that as
analysts self-select in reporting information, the published opinions could
exhibit biases arising from analysts¡¯ self-censoring. Our approach of drawing
inference from the analyst coverage data adds significantly to the
understanding of analysts¡¯ forecasting ability, as it avoids the selection bias
in analysts¡¯ published opinions used in most prior finance studies.
5. ¡°Competitive Costs of Disclosure by Biotech IPOs¡±, with Baruch
Lev and
We examine the
competitive cost of the non-financial product-related information for firms issuing
IPOs in the biotechnology industry.
Although disclosure of financial information is highly scrutinized and
regulated (via audited financial statements), disclosure of nonfinancial
information remains mostly voluntary. In view of the fast-paced innovation and low entry
barrier in the biotech sector, we examine
the determinants of a firm¡¯s corporate disclosure decision of product-related
information. We hypothesize that
the benefits of disclosure are weighed against the costs of disclosure, that
is, the adverse effects that competitors create by making use of the
information. We construct a comprehensive disclosure index from the
prospectuses IPO firms filed with the SEC, and identify four cost-based
determinants of extent of disclosure: stage of product development, patent
protection, venture-capital backing, and ownership retained by pre-IPO owners.
We also find that for firms with more disclosure in product-related
information, the bid-ask spread, quoted depth, and stock return volatility is
lower in the aftermarket trading of the IPO shares.
6. ¡°The Option to Withdraw IPOs during the Premarket'', with
We examine the option for firms to withdraw
their IPOs. This contract feature of the
7.
¡°Valuation of Biotech IPOs ¡±, with Baruch Lev and
Our study addresses the challenge of IPO valuation by
focusing on non-financial information. As most non-financial information is
industry-specific, we study IPOs in biotech industry. As most biotech firms
have no positive earnings and very little revenues at the time of IPOs,
accounting data may not be informative. This lack of information in accounting
data is exacerbated by the fact the current accounting report system is not
well equipped to recognize and measure intangible assets. We hypothesize that
the value of biotech IPOs consists mostly of their intangible assets ---
patents, technology and knowledge accumulated in the drug discovery process. We
conduct our empirical testing on the correlation between IPO
preliminary/offer/market prices and firm¡¯s product pipeline, commercialization
capability, and technological strength.
8. ¡°On Corporate Divestiture¡±, with Hsiu-Lang Chen, Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, 24, n4, 2005, 399-421.
We investigate why firms choose to divest
their units/segments, and how firms choose among the three divestiture
mechanisms. By drawing on a comprehensive set of corporate divestiture transactions,
we obtain a complete picture on firm¡¯s divestiture choices by directly
comparing across three divestiture mechanisms. Our results provide support for
the focusing hypothesis, which predicts that under-performing firms are
divesting units to gain operating efficiency. Our results are consistent with
the propositions that firms are selling off asset to relax its credit
constraint, as firms divesting via asset sales have higher leverage ratios, as
well as a lower dividend yield. Our empirical findings are not consistent with
the hypothesis that firms divest in order to mitigate information asymmetry.
Results from a multinomial logit analysis indicate
that, once a divestiture decision is made, firms with a high cash-to-sales
ratio or firms with units operating in similar industries are more likely to
divest their units via spin-offs. Additionally, we find that more diversified
firms and firms with larger units are more likely to use spin-off or carve-out
transactions. There is strong evidence that parents are more likely to divest
via equity carve-outs units operating in industries with rich valuation from
the capital market.
9. ¡°Information Collection and IPO
Underpricing¡±, Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, 25, n1, 2005, 5-19.
I provide
new evidence that IPO underpricing as economic rents
could be higher when investor information is diverse. As diverse investor
information is aggregated in the public market, the more informative stock
price provides accurate feedback to firm¡¯s investment decision. I make use of a
new information diversity measure constructed from the analyst earnings
forecast data, and report a positive and significant correlation between the
extent of underpricing and the measure of information
diversity. I document evidences that investor information serves as useful
feedback for managers to make future investment decisions in the IPO
market.
10. ¡°Explaining
the Short- and Long-Term IPO Anomalies by R&D¡±, with Baruch Lev and Charles Shi, Journal of Business Finance and Accounting, 33, April/May 2006, 550-579.
Financial scholars who research the initial underpricing and long-term underperformance of IPOs
generally attribute these phenomena to information asymmetry and investors¡¯
misevaluations. Here, we identify a widespread source of information asymmetry
and valuation uncertainty¡ªthe R&D activities of issuers¡ªand document that
these activities significantly affect both the initial underpricing
of IPOs (R&D is positively correlated with underpricing)
and their long-term performance (R&D is positively related to long-term
performance). Given the pervasiveness and constant growth of
firms¡¯ R&D activities in modern economies, our identification of R&D as
a major factor affecting IPO¡¯s performance contributes to the understanding of
this important economic and capital market phenomenon.